Last week, mortgage demand fell again as rates rose higher. However, adjustable-rate mortgages (or ARMs), which offer lower rates are seeing renewed interest after receiving very little interest for the past decade.
According to the seasonally adjusted index of the Mortgage Bankers Association, the total volume of mortgage applications fell 2% last week as a result of rising rates.
The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage interest rate with conforming loan balances of $647,200 or less increased to 6.81%, from 6.75%. Points rose to 0.97 from 0.95 for loans with a 20% downpayment, and the origination fee was 0.95. This is the highest rate recorded since 2006.
“The positive news that September saw continued job growth and wage growth is good news for the housing market as higher incomes support the housing supply. It also delayed any near-term pivot by the Federal Reserve regarding its plans for additional rates hikes,” Michael Fratantoni (MBA’s chief economist) said in a release.
Although the average rate for 5/1ARMs, which have a fixed rate for five years, was slightly higher, it was still lower at 5.56%. Just under 12% was the ARM share in applications. This was even though rates were lower than usual at the beginning of this year. It was only 3% in comparison to previous years.
Although ARMs can be fixed for up to 10 years, they have been considered more risky loans as the market rate eventually adjusts to them. The rates have been so low that borrowers did not need to take on additional risk before they started rising.
Refinance demand was further impacted by higher overall rates. Applications fell by 2% and 86% respectively from the previous year. This rating level means that only 150,000 borrowers can benefit from a loan refinance because so many people have loans at much lower rates. According to Black Knight, a mortgage technology analytics company.
The number of mortgage applications for home purchases fell by 2% over the past week. They were 39% lower than one year ago. This fall has seen buyers move back as higher interest rates have made it more difficult to buy homes. Although home prices are beginning to fall, potential buyers are still concerned about the possibility that their new home will lose its value over time. Buyers are also wary about making large investments due to fears of a recession.
This week, mortgage rates rose even more to begin; another survey by Mortgage News Daily shows that the 30-year rate is now at well over 7%. The latest inflation report is now the focus of all eyes. It will be published on Thursday. It could change rates decisively in either direction.